World Business and Economic Analysis
Jordan has endured a demanding few years in light of the challenging political and security environment in the Middle East. However, a series of policies introduced by the Central Bank of Jordan and the country's government are already making headway in tackling these challenges.
Most economies are still finding it difficult to overcome the negative consequences of the global financial crisis. It has changed the global economic environment; economic growth is still going through a downward spiral, while the foundations of monetary policy and financial stability are constantly challenged. Massive stimulus programmes were adopted to mitigate the downturn, but that could not prevent some economies from slipping into a deep recession. Policy rates rapidly hit the zero lower bound and large swings in capital inflows complicated macroeconomic management. As a result, new monetary policy tools were introduced to remedy the economic problems.
In Jordan, as was the case elsewhere around the world, the global financial crisis and regional turmoil had a significant impact on economic growth and macroeconomic stability.
During the past few years, a number of global and regional factors adversely impacted economic activity in Jordan. These include weakening global demand in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, regional turmoil since the breakout of the Arab Spring and the rise of extreme militant groups, which have fuelled conflict in the Middle East. These regional factors affected Jordan by significantly increasing the cost of energy due to repeated interruptions to Egypt's gas flows, the increasing burden of accommodating large numbers of Syrian refugees and the disruptions of the land freight and transit routes. These challenges posed serious threats to the economy and questioned its capacity to preserve a steady pace of economic growth in this volatile region.
These challenges have resulted in a deterioration of the fiscal and external positions of the economy and heightened the pressure on the Central Bank of Jordan’s (CBJ's) reserves buffers.
Cost of conflict
These events have led to the importing of costly energy substitutes to counter the decline in gas flows from Egypt, with the inevitable result of inflating government subsidies on electricity and petroleum products. Moreover, the inadequate international support to Jordan in hosting Syrian refugees contributed to increasing the fiscal burden, resulting in an increase in the budget deficit from 6.8% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2011 to 8.3% of GDP in 2012, and increasing public debt from 65% of GDP in 2011 to 75.5% of GDP in 2012. In addition, the current account deficit widened from 10.2% of GDP in 2011 to 15.2% of GDP in 2012 before shrinking in 2013 and 2014.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows declined due to growing regional uncertainty, which had created additional pressures on official foreign exchange reserves. These decreased significantly to $6.6bn at the end of 2012 before rebounding. As a result, economic growth slowed to reach an average of 2.6% between 2010 and 2013, compared with an average of 6.5% over the previous decade. The first quarter of 2014 witnessed a reversal of trends with economic growth up 3.2%, while unemployment rates remained above average for the Middle East and north Africa (MENA) region.
To address these challenges, the government instigated a national reform programme to correct the internal and external imbalances by adopting fiscal consolidation measures and other structural reforms. This programme was supported by a $2bn stand-by arrangement from the International Monetary Fund to remedy the fiscal and external imbalances while strengthening growth prospects, thus promoting macroeconomic stability.
As part of the programme, the government took measures to correct these imbalances and sustain the fiscal position. The most prominent measure was the elimination of fuel subsidies, replacing them with targeted cash transfers to vulnerable parts of the population, making Jordan the first among the MENA countries to take such effective measures. As a result, the fiscal deficit declined to 5.5% of GDP in 2013 compared with 8.3% in 2012. Moreover, the current account deficit declined from 15.2% in 2012, to 10% in 2013, and it is projected to decline further this year.
Monetary policy
On the other hand, the CBJ introduced a monetary policy framework that is based on a set of new instruments, including weekly and monthly repurchase agreements through auctions to manage liquidity and to guide interest rates in the interbank market. CBJ also incorporated outright open-market operations that enable it to buy and sell government securities in the secondary market with the aim of managing liquidity in line with market conditions at its discretion. In addition, the CBJ allowed banks, at their discretion, to conduct currency swap contracts with the CBJ to provide the needed liquidity in local currency to banks.
The new monetary framework helped the Jordanian economy withstand several nominal shocks and has since sustained the objectives of price and financial stability. After a severe decline in official foreign reserves and an increase in the dollarisation ratio in 2012, which reached 24.8%, reserves have been rebuilt to a comfortable level and dollarisation is quite low today. The foreign reserves buffer reached $14.4bn at the end of July 2014 compared with $6.6bn at the end of 2012. Moreover, inflation rates are stable and at a reasonable level, reaching 3.2% during the first seven months of 2014. Looking forward, we are trying to turn challenges into opportunities.
Reform programme
The adoption of a four-year national reform programme came as a necessity to the economy to counter the challenges that we faced, but we felt the need for a long-term national plan to bolster growth. Thus, the government, under the directives of his majesty [King Abdullah II], is working now on a 10-year plan (Vision 2025) to have a clearer vision about the structural reforms that we need to implement to overcome a number of growing challenges and improve the living conditions of Jordan’s citizens. The key issues that this plan will address are human resource development, social development, economic development, de-centralisation and development under the governorate level.
It aims to deepen structural measures to enhance competitiveness and improve the business environment, redirecting trade towards today’s growth engines, attracting foreign direct investment, exploiting the potential for intra-regional trade, and promoting Jordan as a safe haven for business in the region.
We are working on a comprehensive strategy to achieve these objectives. We view Vision 2025 as a unique opportunity to consolidate proposed policies and best practice within an overarching macroeconomic framework. The Vision 2025 strategy, to be completed by the end of the year, aims to build synergies between line ministries, donors and civil society. To avoid duplication, it is built on recent sectoral studies, including in energy and water, and coordinated with the World Bank’s ongoing work on systematic country diagnostics to identify constraints to inclusive growth and poverty reduction. As implementation is key, there will be semi-annual updates on interim milestones in priority reforms.
Ziad Fariz is the governor of the Central Bank of Jordan.
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Rather than sit back and enjoy its economic prosperity, Saudi Arabia is working on further strengthening its economic future by investing in education, encouraging the small and medium-sized enterprise sector and promoting private sector employment.
In recent years, the performance of Saudi Arabia's economy has been strong by all standards. Indeed, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has assessed Saudi Arabia as one of the best performing G20 economies. Saudi Arabia also fares well among the G20 economies with regard to the strength of its sovereign and external balance sheets. Government debt has declined to 2.7% of GDP, government deposits at the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) have been built up to about 60% of GDP or 20 months of spending, and substantial external assets have been accumulated.
In view of the strong fundamentals, prudent macroeconomic management and significant buffers, the Saudi economy has not been affected either by recent global market volatility or by regional geopolitical events. These positive developments were recently recognised by Fitch Ratings, which upgraded Saudi Arabia's sovereign credit rating from 'AA-' to 'AA' with a 'stable' outlook.
Maintaining momentum
The outlook for the Saudi economy remains favourable, benefiting from strong private sector activity and government spending on transportation infrastructure, housing projects, and the Mecca and Medina expansion. However, my government is committed to the further diversification of the economy, while boosting sustainable growth under the forthcoming 10th Development Plan (2015-2019), which is being finalised.
Over the medium term, Saudi Arabia aims to maintain a sustainable economic growth path through deepening and accelerating the pace of economic diversification, expanding the absorptive capacity, increasing the contribution of the private sector and improving its productivity, and reducing unemployment among Saudi nationals by creating suitable and sufficient job opportunities. Saudi Arabia also plans to maintain the mechanisms for minimising social disparities through raising the standard of living and quality of life of all segments of society, supporting individual initiatives, and enhancing social security. Fiscal policy has been playing a key role in the development of the Saudi economy and supporting higher living standards, given large public investments in infrastructure, education and social programmes.
This momentum will be maintained as many development projects have been approved to further strengthen existing infrastructure, including roads, railroads, airports, telecommunications, water and electricity, health and education services. A significant amount of credit is also being extended to the private sector through the five Specialised Credit Institutions (SCls), including to the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) sector, which will further promote the private sector's role, particularly in creating job opportunities for Saudi nationals.
We will continue to increase the capital of SCIs in line with the growing demand for loans granted by these institutions. A sound financial system is essential for the sustainability of economic growth and development and increasing employment opportunities. Here, we are pleased to underscore that Saudi Arabia is maintaining the soundness of its financial sector and SAMA makes continuous efforts to further strengthen financial sector supervision and boost financial inclusion.
Creating job opportunities
The Saudi banking system remains profitable, liquid and well capitalised, and is well equipped to deal with spillover risks, including from potential increase in global interest rates and any downside risks arising from slower non-oil growth. At 17.9% at the end of 2013, risk-weighted bank capital ratios are high. Non-performing loans have continued to decline to 1.3% of loans in 2013, while bank profitability remains high. Saudi Arabia was among the first countries to implement the Basel III risk-based capital standards in January 2013, it has implemented the Basel III liquidity standards in July 2013, and the leverage ratio has been monitored at a minimum of 3% since January 2011.
The insurance sector has witnessed a quantum leap over the past few years, as better provision of insurance services at competitive prices have helped realise high growth rates. The capital market is building momentum in financing Saudi corporates and offering investment opportunities. We are also exploring ways to deepen the debt market to help increase financing options. Saudi Arabia plans to open its stock market to direct investment by foreign financial institutions in the first half of 2015.
Boosting the private sector employment of Saudi nationals remains an important priority for my government. The implementation of effective labour market reforms in recent years have resulted in a substantial increase in the recruitment and participation of Saudi nationals in the private sector. An unemployment insurance system (Sanid Programme) is being introduced this year to strengthen the social safety net for Saudi nationals and will lead more of the country's young workforce to seek employment in the private sector.
Improvement all areas
The ongoing large investments in educating Saudi nationals, both domestically and abroad, aim to provide opportunities for private sector employment. Training programmes are being enhanced to improve skills of workers already in the labour force. Going forward, the objectives are to further strengthen policies to increase labour force participation as well as promote effective and efficient labour activation programmes. Employment opportunities for female workers will be further enhanced through increasing their participation in the retail sector, establishing affordable childcare facilities, and offering flexible working hours and arrangements.
Expanding the supply of affordable housing is an important goal for my government, given its role in improving the population's standard of living. The implementing regulations of the Real Estate Finance Law are expected to promote sustainable real estate financing by creating the necessary institutional framework. This will promote growth in the sector and in the domestic economy.
The regulations set a maximum limit on real estate financing, which will help in mitigating risks. The regulations also set up a regulatory framework for real estate refinancing, thereby establishing a secondary market that will contribute to providing the necessary liquidity and reducing the cost of financing to the consumer. The greater private sector involvement in the supply of housing will give further boost to private sector activity in the country.
Reaching out to SMEs
The SME sector enjoys major support in the country. The Saudi Credit and Saving Bank is making significant efforts to coordinate and provide financing for this sector. In addition, the government and banks have jointly created an SME Credit Guarantee Programme that is managed by the Saudi Industrial Development Fund to support access to credit.
The main objective of the programme is to provide SMEs with greater access to bank credit by reducing cost to borrowers and exposure risk of banks. However, the programme's activities are not only limited to the issuance of guarantees to SMEs, but also encourage the training, education and professional development of SME owners and related parties. The programme also aims to enhance information flows between SMEs and financing institutions and to strengthen SMEs' competitiveness through improvements in infrastructure and use of technology.
Furthermore, banks have been encouraged to establish SME departments to provide SMEs with various products and services tailored to their business needs. Despite its vast oil resources, Saudi Arabia is making considerable efforts to lay the foundation for further diversification and boost sustainable growth. Saudi Arabia scores well across a number of doing business indicators, but reforms will continue to further enhance the business environment and the role of the private sector in the economy.
A large number of structural reforms have been implemented over the past two decades and efforts are continuing in a number of areas, including significant investments in human capital and physical infrastructure, increased SME financing, the development of industrial clusters around oil and mining, and joint ventures in refining, mining and banking. The implementation of these reforms will continue to yield tangible outcomes, particularly with regard to the increased share of non-oil real GDP.
While the development and modernisation of the Saudi economy and the creation of employment opportunities for Saudi nationals remain the priorities of my government, Saudi Arabia is conscious of its global and regional responsibilities. In this connection, Saudi Arabia continues to contribute to the global economy by playing its systemic and stabilising role in the global oil market. Saudi Arabia also has been a significant contributor to multilateral programmes to promote global financial stability and to support low-income countries. In addition, Saudi Arabia provides generous financial assistance to countries in the Middle East region and beyond.
Ibrahim Abdulaziz Al-Assaf is Saudi Arabia's minister of finance.
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Banks across the Arab world are prospering, according to The Banker’s Top 100 Arab banks ranking, thanks to the health of the financial sector in spite of a challenging political and security environment in some areas.
Even by the usually strong standards of Middle Eastern and north African lenders, the results of the The Banker’s Top 100 Arab Bank’s rankings for 2014 were impressive. Aggregate Tier 1 capital increased from $209.8bn to $233.1bn, a year-on-year improvement of 11.08%. Encouragingly, these gains were well reflected across the Arab World, although Gulf-based banks once again dominated in terms of overall growth. Moreover, this signals an upward trend from the 8.86% increase recorded in last year’s rankings, and goes some way to catching up with the impressive 15.3% posted in the 2012 rankings.
Notably, the region’s banks scored well across most metrics with increases to total assets growing by 12.2% from $1948bn to $2187bn. Similarly, pre-tax profits grew by 10.94% to $37.8bn, up from $34.1bn last year. However, banks’ aggregate return on capital witnessed a marginal decrease, from 16.25% to 16.23% this year, though this still compares favourably with most regions globally. Perhaps most encouragingly, there was an improvement of Arab banks’ aggregate capital assets ratio from last year’s rankings. From 10.35% last year, this figure has grown to 10.66%, in line with the broader strength of the regional banking market.
Morocco stands out
In terms of the aggregate Tier 1 capital by country, Morocco was the standout performer, posting an 18.55% increase from last year, with the United Arab Emirates following closely in second place with a 17.7% increase as Tier 1 capital rose from $50bn to $58.8bn. Other notable country performances came from Oman, with Tier 1 capital increasing 14.85%, Tunisia, with 13.79% growth, and Kuwait, which recorded an upswing of 11.37%. These figures point to the health of the banking industry across the region, in spite of a challenging political and security environment in certain areas.
Of the Top 100 rankings, the first 13 lenders hail from the Gulf. Of these, six are Saudi-based banks, while four are Emirati, with two from Kuwait and one from Qatar. Generally, their strong representation speaks of the intense strength of the Gulf’s banking market, which has continued its meteoric rise in the past year. This dominance appears throughout the rest of the Top 100 ranking. Seventy of the Top 100 lenders are based in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the UAE, Oman, Kuwait or Qatar. Banks from the UAE once again had the largest representation, accounting for 21 lenders in total. Following this, Saudi and Bahraini banks account for 12 and 10 lenders in the Top 100, respectively.
Taking the top spot again this year is Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank, which enjoyed an exceptional year. NCB executed a number of significant changes to its operations in 2013, including the merger of its ‘individual banking’ and ‘consumer finance’ divisions to create the Retail Banking Group. Moreover, NCB recorded significant growth according to most of its major business indicators. The bank achieved a record net income in 2013, which grew 21.7% to SR7.58bn ($2.09bn), while total assets increased by 9.3%. Return on average equity grew from 17.96% at the end of 2012 to 19.95% by year-end 2013. This performance is widely expected to continue in 2015, particularly as the Saudi economy maintains its upward growth trajectory.
Notable movements
Yet, the Gulf banks have not remained stagnant in this year’s rankings. Notable movements in the top 10 come from Qatar National Bank (QNB), which dropped four places to sixth, and Emirates NBD, which rose from sixth to third. In the case of QNB, this fall is mostly attributable to regulatory restrictions imposed on the lender’s capital provisions. According to most other metrics, the bank maintained its impressive growth story. For Emirates NBD, the lender’s rise in Tier 1 capital, from $7.5bn to $8.5bn, was partly attributable to an increase in retained earnings. Similarly, sizeable gains were posted by Saudi Arabia’s Riyad Bank, which rose to second place from fifth last year.
One of the most salient success stories in this year’s Top 100 rankings emerged from Qatar’s Doha Bank. Posting a 62.24% increase in its Tier 1 capital, the Qatari lender catapulted from 42nd in last year’s rankings to 28th this year. This increase followed a successful capital raising programme which included bond issuances late last year. Other gains include Kuwait Finance House’s impressive jump from 12th position to ninth. This followed a 28.35% increase in Tier 1 capital to $6.86bn from $5.35bn.
Conversely, Omani lenders were the quiet success story of this year’s rankings. Two banks, BankDhofar and Bank Sohar, feature in a new ranking that sorts the top 20 lenders based on pre-tax profits with a return on capital above 15%. Three of the seven Omani institutions in the Top 100 rankings recorded Tier 1 capital growth above the regional average of 11.08%, while all but one bank, HSBC Oman, registered positive asset growth. In terms of return on capital, it was a similar story with most Omani lenders registering 15% or above. Yet, the real success for Oman’s banks came with respect to return on assets, with four lenders surpassing the regional average of 1.73% by a significant margin. The strong performance of the domestic economy, with high credit demand coming from the construction, mining, electricity and manufacturing sectors, is largely responsible for this success.
Asset growth
Meanwhile, a closer look at the total asset growth of Gulf-lenders reveals the massive process of balance sheet expansion taking place. This reflects the growth of regional economies, as well as a number of banks that are pushing out of smaller home markets into higher growth regions. In particular, the aggregate total asset growth for Qatari lenders was 19.73%. To some extent, this was the result of huge acquisitions involving QNB buying into Egypt, and the Commercial Bank of Qatar pushing into Turkey.
Similar trends can be observed with UAE, which posted aggregate year-on-year asset growth of 18.53%. In this case, Emirates NBD’s acquisition of BNP Paribas’ Egyptian unit was the standout deal. However, this trend was not limited to the Gulf region. Moroccan banks also recorded substantial asset growth of 15.23%, partly as a result of their exposure to higher growth markets in sub-Saharan Africa.
The continued strength of the Gulf-based lenders stems from a number of factors. Large-scale government infrastructure projects, international expansion and healthy macroeconomic fundamentals have all gone some way to supporting this performance. Yet, it is also worth noting that these institutions benefit from both a supportive and relatively progressive regulatory environment. To date, the region’s central banks have been instrumental in enforcing the kind of discipline and longer term vision that has been absent in more crisis-prone areas of the world in recent years.
Outside of the Gulf region, growth has been stable though a number of challenges persist. Ongoing political, economic and security related impediments have hampered development in some cases, and in particular, generated longer term uncertainty over issues such as asset-quality deterioration. Banks in Jordan and Lebanon continue to face difficulties in light of the ongoing crisis in Syria; however, lenders in both countries performed remarkably well during the review period.
Lebanon’s finest
In the case of Lebanon, four lenders exceeded the regional average in terms of increases to their Tier 1 capital, including Credit Libanais, with 32.87%, Bank of Beirut, with 20.14%, BankMed with 15.13%, Bank Audi with 12.67%. Yet, in some cases this year-on-year growth was as a result of banks playing catch-up with well-capitalised competitors.
Bank Audi takes the top spot in this year’s Lebanon country ranking, a position previously occupied by Blom Bank. In the aggregate rankings, Bank Audi has risen from 37th to 35th with 12.67% increase in Tier 1 capital. Nevertheless, the bank’s profits have taken a hit following its recent move into the Turkish banking market. Yet, in light of the outstanding recent progress of this new subsidiary, Odeabank, Bank Audi’s growth prospects look particularly promising. Fransabank and Byblos Bank maintained third and fourth positions, respectively, in the country rankings this year.
While the Lebanese banking sector’s Tier 1 capital grew by an aggregate 8.39%, pre-tax profits suffered in this year’s rankings, falling by 2.43%. In this respect, uncertainties relating to the political and security environment have weighed heavily on lenders in the domestic market, a situation that is likely to endure over the short term despite the ongoing stimulus measures being implemented by the Banque du Liban.
In Jordan, Arab Bank and HBTF grew their Tier 1 capital by 2.66% and 1.26%, respectively. Both lenders also registered healthy increases to their profits, with Arab Bank’s 31.62% increase being the standout pre-tax profit figure among Jordanian banks. This performance was helped in part by the bank’s strong global footprint. It also played a significant role in Jordan’s year-on-year profit growth of 22%, thanks to Arab Bank’s disproportionate size among the three lenders that featured in this year’s rankings from the country.
Beyond the Levant, Moroccan lenders posted the most impressive gains to their Tier 1 capital. Leading this charge was Groupe Banques Populaire, which rose one position from last year to 19th, with Tier 1 capital of $3.8bn representing growth of 17.65%. The bank also posted the strongest growth in assets in the country at 10.66%, while it ranked second by capital assets with a ratio of 10.68%. Other major gains from Morocco came from Attijariwafa Bank, which came second in the country rankings and maintained 22nd position in the Top 100, with a 13.08% increase to its Tier 1 capital.
Top 10 movement
There were significant movements in the top 10 rankings by performance indicator, particularly for Tier 1 capital growth. Qatar’s Doha bank topped the ranking with a 62.24% change, replacing HSBC Bank Oman from last year. Bahrain’s Gulf Finance House was the only repeat entrant in this year’s top 10 ranking, once again taking second place with 52.46% growth. Meanwhile, the other notable change came from the entrance of three Saudi lenders in the top 10. Saudi British Bank, which ranked third, Bank Albilad, which ranked ninth, and Saudi Hollandi Bank, which ranked 10th. Credit Libanais replaced BankMed as the only Lebanese lender in the top 10 with 32.87% growth in Tier 1 capital.
The top 10 banks by pre-tax profit were once again dominated by QNB, with $2.7bn, up from $2.3bn in last year’s rankings. Two Saudi lenders, National Commercial Bank and Al Rajhi Bank, were second and third, respectively, switching positions from last year’s rankings. Meanwhile, National Bank of Abu Dhabi maintained fourth position from last year, with $1.3bn in profits. Saudi British Bank was a new entrant into this year’s pre-tax profit table, ranking ninth with just over $1bn in profits.
Looking at return on assets, there were some notable changes in this year’s top 10 rankings. The UAE’s Rakbank once again took the first spot with 4.75%. CIB Egypt jumped one place from last year, rising from third to second, registering 3.67%. Beyond this, there were a number of newcomers. Notably, QNB Alahli Bank, the Egyptian subsidiary of QNB, entered the ranking at number three with 3.04%. Formerly known as National Société Générale Bank, Société Générale’s Egyptian offshoot, the bank was acquired by QNB in 2013 as a number of European lenders scaled down their international operations in response to the financial crisis. Since then, QNB has benefited from the substantial growth of its new subsidiary in the promising Egyptian market.
Qatar’s Masraf Al Rayan and Egypt’s Banque du Caire were also new entrants to this year’s top 10 list, recording a return on assets of 2.61% and 2.65%, in 10th and ninth, respectively.
Egyptian lenders once again dominated the return on capital ranking. This year, their performance was even more striking, as Egyptian banks took the top four positions. Banque du Caire led the charge, on 58.65%, followed by National Bank of Egypt on 52.77%, CIB Egypt on 47.84% and QNB Alahli on 33.68%. However, it is worth noting that some of these lenders have low capital assets ratios compared with many regional competitors. For instance, Banque du Caire and the National Bank of Egypt have capital assets ratios of 4.1% and 3.7%, respectively. This compares with a regional average of well above 10%.
This year’s top 10 Arab banks by asset growth was an exclusively Gulf affair, driven mostly by lenders from Qatar. Four Qatari lenders made the ranking, building on three that made last year’s list. Commercial Bank of Qatar was the newcomer this year, posting a 41.32% change. This performance is largely the result of the bank’s expansion into larger and higher growth regional markets, including Turkey.
Two new additions from the UAE also made this year’s asset growth rankings, with the National Bank of Fujairah and Noor Bank registering 22.27% and 28.93% growth, respectively. Yet, it was United Arab Bank, the only UAE lender to make last year’s top 10 ranking, that clinched the top spot this year with a 43.53% increase in assets over the last year.
Rising cost to income
While the banks’ performance has been impressive across most of these criteria, it has not come without its costs. Most Arab lenders have either maintained or increased their cost-to-income ratios (CIR) during this period of expansion. This includes the top lenders from each country, with Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank’s CIR rising from 34.26% last year to 44.65% this year. In Kuwait, the National Bank of Kuwait’s CIR grew from 28.26% to 33.07%, while a similar trend was experienced by Kuwait Finance House, whose CIR increased from 35.58% to 40.72%. Even among Qatari lenders, which recorded the lowest CIR of any banks last year, there were notable increases. QNB rose from 15.17% to 20.89%, while the Commercial Bank of Qatar went from 30.38% to 34.41%.
A new ranking has been included in this year’s Top 100 Arab Banks rankings, covering the top 20 lenders’ pre-tax profits growth with a return on capital above the regional average of 15%. This is a further refinement of the pre-tax profit growth picture, permitting a clearer evaluation of a bank’s performance while removing variables that may exclusively impact profitability year on year. Encouragingly, this new ranking is populated by lenders from across the region. Only Egypt and the UAE have any kind of dominance, with four banks each, followed by Saudi Arabia with three lenders. Bahrain’s Ahli United Bank tops this chart, with a 60.43% change in pre-tax profits and a return on capital of 26.90%. Four banks in this top 20 ranking are also featured within the first 20 institutions listed in the main Top 100 ranking, marking them out as an elite group of lenders who are not only exceptionally well capitalised, but also registering region-beating profit growth.
Of this group, Jordan’s Arab Bank ranked sixth with pre-tax profits of $741m and growth of 31.62%. Much of this came from the breadth of its international operations in high-growth markets. National Commercial Bank of Saudi Arabia, the leading bank in the Top 100, was ranked 11th based on its pre-tax profits. Meanwhile, QNB maintained its impressive performance ranking 14th with $2.7bn in profit and year-on-year growth of 17.92%. QNB has benefited from substantial loan growth in its domestic market, as the economy expands and construction on major infrastructure projects continues. This, in part, accounts for the bank’s stellar rise in profits. Lastly, the United Arab Emirate’s First Gulf Bank rounds off this group of four, ranking 18th with pre-tax profits of $1.3bn and profit growth of 15.81%. First Gulf Bank’s consumer and wholesale activities were largely responsible for this growth.
Elsewhere, Banque Misr and CIB Egypt, two Egyptian lenders, ranked eighth and ninth, respectively. Both banks are relatively well capitalised and posted a 23.55% increase in pre-tax profits, in the case of Banque Misr, and 23.12% in the case of CIB Egypt, to make the top 20 in this ranking. This result is all the more impressive in light of the highly challenging year endured by most Egyptian lenders, as various political and security issues hampered corporate lending growth. QNB Alahli Bank was the only other Egyptian bank featured in the top 20, ranking 16th.
The outlook for most Arab lenders is bright. The Gulf will continue to grow independently of non-oil exporting regions and a number of high-profile mergers, acquisitions and forays into new markets will ensure that 2015 is an active year for most banks. Meanwhile, lenders in non-oil exporting regions are likely to face continued issues of political and security risk. However, given the notable performance of lenders in Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt and Morocco, among others, in this year’s rankings, it seems likely that banks in these countries will continue to find opportunities for growth, despite the significant challenges they face.
The Banker's Top Arab banks ranking, 2014 originally appeared in the October 2014 issue of the magazine. The full results of the ranking are available on The Banker Database. Find out more about the database, register for a free trial or subscribe today.
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