World  Business and Economic Analysis 


Over the last decade, developments in the energy market, especially for hydrocarbons, have contributed to an increased tendency among countries about the future access to reasonably priced energy.
As a result, energy security is uppermost in the minds of the general public as well as policymakers. Therefore, investing in future energy sources to meet the growing demand for energy is considered as a main inclination of most countries.
The current high-commodity price environment has made energy investment look attractive. Expenditures in energy infrastructures` investment of nearly 22 trillion US$, through 2030 will be required. (Table 1)


. (Table 1)

 
   

 

 

 

Total

Power

Gas

Oil

Coal

 

8,082

4,661

1,774

1,377

146

OECD

4,669

2,246

1,291

1,023

78

  North America

2,417

1,728

315

247

35

  Europe

997

687

168

107

33

  Pacific

2,148

681

657

769

40

Transition economies

1,379

292

492

568

27

  Russian Federation

11,338

6,220

1,716

2,968

369

Developing countries

3,740

2,764

168

547

251

Developing Asia

1,911

406

430

1,074

0

Middle East

1,461

484

460

494

19

Africa

1,536

762

292

432

10

Latin America

369

0

82

246

41

International transport

21,936

11,562

4,229

5,360

597

World

 




In accordance with Iranian Oil industry Vision (2025), the required investment in various sectors of Oil industry has been estimated about 501.52 billion dollar, (yearly investment of 25 billion dollar)(Table 2) in which 231.68 billion dollar will be in upstream and 269.84 billion dollar would be allocated to downstream of oil, gas and petrochemical sectors.
In Oil upstream, the required investment has been estimated about 93.930 billion dollar where 49.780 billion dollar  would be generated from foreign sources.
In Gas upstream, 137.75 billion dollar investment is needed where 106.740 billion dollar is predicted to be allocated from foreign resources.


   


On the other hand, up to 2025, the required investment for oil refining section (construction of new refineries and protection of current refineries and facilities capacity) would be 44.251 billion dollar (15.711 billion dollar foreign investment). In addition, 25.290 billion dollar investment is the estimated amount for refining of gas sector where 17.703 billion dollar will be provided from foreign sources.
Oil and gas pipelines, require 22.29 and 55.890 billion dollar investment respectively, in which about 39.123 billion dollar would be from foreign resources.
In order to achieve the planned objectives of oil industry sectors during the fifth development plan,  about 191 billion dollar investment is estimated where 81 percent - 155 billion dollar – would be enforced in upstream sector to develop oil and gas fields as well as sustain operation capacity. Furthermore, about 56 percent of upstream plan is organized for development and furtherance of production capacity in gas fields.
The planned investment for refinery section is 12.6 billion dollar that would attain the construction of crude oil and condensate new refineries inside/outside of territory, improvement and optimization of oil products quality in existing refineries and development of pipelines and storage tanks as well.
Finally the investment plan for natural gas downstream is 23 billion dollar that will enhance the natural gas refinery capacity and gas pipelines network throughout the country.
Table 3 illustrates the details of investment opportunities, in different sectors of oil industry, through the fifth development plan.



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 Deputy oil minister has reported on negotiations with several European, Asian, African and South American countries on building or buying refineries.

On Iran’s new plans to construct refineries in foreign countries, Managing Director of National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company (NIORDC) Abbas Kazemi said “currently, buying stocks of crude oil refineries abroad is one of the policies pursued by the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) to ensure guaranteed sale of Iranian crude in the long run."

The official deemed the policy as a sound one asserting “before the Islamic Revolution, Iran held shares at four major foreign refineries while many countries implement the same policy nowadays.”

Kazemi further commented that in negotiations with countries like Brazil and Spain, we have proposed to construct crude oil refineries within the framework of equal shares and partnership; “NIORDC mainly undertakes the technical feasibility and economic justifiability of the project while NIOC remains as the key decision maker.”

NIORDC managing director also stressed that South Africa has voiced willingness to improve the quality of its oil refineries by Iranian experts; “Iran’s current approach is to invest in the construction of the refineries with the prerequisite that most required equipment will be supplied by Iranian manufacturers,” he maintained.

 Deputy oil minister reiterated that “recently, some talks have been conducted with Indonesian and Malaysian companies to activate their refinery projects in which Iran holds shares.”

 

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Oil minister’s international deputy has said negotiations with Hungary to have the country as new oil customer through Italian Saras have been started.

Seyed Mohsen Qamsari told reporters on Monday that Hungary had been only one of the many companies in the queue for buying oil from Iran. He rejected the media reports about alleged discounts by Iran provided for new customers as inaccurate; “Iran will provide oil to customers on official OPEC basket prices and no discount would be available,” he said. The reports speculated that discount by Iran would even surpass that of Saudi Arabia.

Qamsari also said that Iran’s deals to sell oil to French Total, Russian, and Spanish refineries had been secured; “with Italian Saras, negotiations had been on last week and with Eni, we will embark on negotiation as well soon,” he revealed.

Roknoddin Javadi, Deputy-Oil Minister had told reporters on Sunday that Iran had signed a long-term deal with French Total; “in the first month after removal of sanctions, Iran raised its oil production 400,000 barrels per day,” he was quoted as saying.

In another economic event yet, reports said that Iran and Germany had signed an MoU on shipping. Chair of Board of Directors and Managing Director of the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) had signed the MoU in Hamburg with the owners of shipping company PWL, according to which a package of services would be provided to the trade shipping fleet and the affiliated units in a number of European ports such as those in Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium. The joint venture will start March 2016. With services focused primarily in JV Shipping Co., the speed and quality of services for customers of both sides will be greatly improved.

 

 

 

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